AC Monza vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASS
46%
31%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 1
EMP
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASS
58%
24%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 1
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASS
53%
28%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
PIS
1 - 1
VAR
45%
30%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 0
PRG
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
USC
3 - 0
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 1
COM
56%
27%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VAR
45%
29%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |