AC Monza vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASS
45%
31%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
COM
62%
25%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
ASS
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 0
TER
55%
26%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
AVE
0 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 0
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
3 - 1
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CES
3 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAG
46%
30%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |