AC Monza vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ASS
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
ASS
0 - 1
PAL
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ASS
1 - 2
USF
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ACP
2 - 2
ASS
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
ASS
0 - 5
CAG
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
USA
0 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ACP
0 - 2
VAR
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAG
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VNZ
0 - 0
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |