AC Monza vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 1
GIU
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
23%
28%
50%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 0
PIZ
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAD
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
VER
2 - 2
BAR
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
MOD
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
PES
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |