AC Monza vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 2
ASS
56%
27%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAL
53%
27%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
USF
0 - 1
ASS
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
PIS
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
BAR
4 - 0
REG
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
POT
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |