AC Monza vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 3
ASS
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
2 - 3
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 0
ASS
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
REG
1 - 1
USA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 1
REG
47%
24%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VER
4 - 1
REG
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 1
REG
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |