AC Monza vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
ASS
2 - 1
ACM
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 1
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 2
COM
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ASS
0 - 0
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
SSS
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 1
REG
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
ACP
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
REG
3 - 1
LEC
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |