AC Monza vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 0
ASS
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ATP
0 - 0
ASS
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 1
VER
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 2
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
FAN
4 - 0
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 1
ATP
64%
20%
17%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |