AC Monza vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 1
ASS
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
USC
1 - 1
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 4
SOR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
USA
1 - 2
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 1
ASF
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACL
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PRG
0 - 2
ACL
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 2
ACL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |