AC Monza vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAV
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 2
ASS
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ASS
2 - 2
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 2
TER
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 2
FIA
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
ACL
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 0
PAV
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FRO
0 - 2
ACL
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |