AC Monza vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
COS
2 - 1
ASS
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 0
NAP
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
EMP
1 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
ALZ
2 - 1
ASS
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ASS
3 - 2
GEN
25%
27%
49%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
USC
0 - 0
ACL
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ACL
0 - 1
PIS
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
ACL
0 - 2
GEN
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ACL
2 - 1
EMP
18%
24%
59%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
EMP
2 - 0
ACL
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |