AC Monza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASS
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 2
SAM
17%
23%
61%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CTT
3 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 1
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ASS
3 - 1
PIS
36%
29%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CES
3 - 3
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ARZ
3 - 2
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CES
3 - 2
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CES
3 - 2
CAR
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |