AC Monza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
33.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
FIA
1 - 1
ASS
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
ASS
1 - 3
USC
36%
32%
33%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
TER
0 - 0
ASS
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAD
45%
30%
26%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
REG
2 - 0
ASS
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
CES
3 - 1
ASL
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
COS
1 - 1
CES
46%
30%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |