AC Monza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
11.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.9%
33.2%
Draw
0-0
17.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.2%
26.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
BRE
43%
34%
24%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAG
41%
32%
27%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
ASS
59%
26%
16%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
ASS
2 - 2
FCC
43%
32%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CES
1 - 0
VIC
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CES
56%
26%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CES
1 - 1
BOL
58%
27%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
CAM
0 - 0
CES
44%
32%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |