AC Monza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 1
EMP
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
47%
30%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
ASS
3 - 3
CAG
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASS
48%
30%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 1
PES
56%
27%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CES
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 0
CES
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
CES
0 - 0
PAD
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
PAL
0 - 0
CES
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
CES
2 - 2
ARZ
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |