AC Monza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
23.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
TRI
0 - 3
ASS
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 0
LEC
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAL
56%
26%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
CAG
0 - 0
ASS
61%
26%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 0
PIS
57%
26%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
FIO
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
CES
2 - 0
PES
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
CES
2 - 0
EMP
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 1
CES
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |