AC Monza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASS
42%
31%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 3
COM
57%
27%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASS
50%
29%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
ASS
0 - 0
NOV
60%
21%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
FIO
2 - 1
ASS
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
MAS
75%
18%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 1
CES
50%
30%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CES
0 - 1
BRE
44%
30%
26%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
81%
12%
6%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +2 |