AC Monza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
COM
5 - 0
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ASS
0 - 0
MAN
47%
29%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
BRE
3 - 0
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ASS
0 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
REG
2 - 2
ASS
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 0
CES
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
CES
0 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 1
CES
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
CES
0 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |