AC Montichiari vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
ACM
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
VIN
59%
24%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RIM
1 - 2
ACM
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 1
MAN
15%
24%
61%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
REN
3 - 0
ACM
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAV
0 - 1
CUN
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 4
SAV
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 1
BOR
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 1
USA
25%
27%
48%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAV
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |