AC Montichiari vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAP
4 - 1
ACM
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ACM
0 - 1
CIS
14%
19%
68%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
ACM
81%
14%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ACM
1 - 2
VIL
13%
21%
67%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
OLG
4 - 0
ACM
77%
17%
7%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
SON
48%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
INV
1 - 1
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 1
MAP
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
FOL
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |