AC Montichiari vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SON
2 - 0
ACM
49%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 2
INV
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACM
3 - 5
VIR
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 1
ACM
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 0
ACP
45%
24%
30%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
SON
66%
19%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
INV
4 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
59%
23%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACS
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |