AC Montichiari vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RIM
1 - 2
ACM
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 1
MAN
15%
24%
61%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
REN
3 - 0
ACM
53%
25%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 0
USA
20%
26%
55%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 3
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
ACG
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 5
VIN
59%
24%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
USP
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 0
VIN
69%
20%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
0 - 2
PRO
28%
27%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |