AC Mezzocorona vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Mezzocorona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
2 - 1
FMO
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ACE
7 - 1
ACM
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 2
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FER
2 - 2
ACM
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 2
TAM
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 1
TRI
22%
22%
57%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 1
GIO
86%
11%
4%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 1
VFS
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |