AC Mezzocorona vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Mezzocorona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 5
ACM
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
ACM
70%
20%
11%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 3
POL
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 3
ACM
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 1
OLB
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FSD
1 - 1
SPE
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
4 - 0
LEO
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 1
FCC
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
SPE
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |