AC Marzotto vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
VER
4 - 0
ACM
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 0
LEC
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 1
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 0
MOD
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 0
MES
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
MOD
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |