AC Marzotto vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
PAL
2 - 1
ACM
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 0
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 1
MAN
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
ACM
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
NOV
4 - 1
ACP
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
USF
0 - 0
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
BRE
8 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |