AC Marzotto vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
USA
0 - 0
ACM
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRO
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 0
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BRE
2 - 0
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
MOD
0 - 0
VNZ
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
COM
2 - 1
MOD
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
MOD
3 - 0
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |