AC Marzotto vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1956 |
USA
2 - 0
ACM
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
UNI
1 - 0
ACM
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 1
TAR
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 4
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1956 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
MES
3 - 3
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
VER
1 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |