AC Marzotto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 0
ACM
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 1
SSS
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
VER
3 - 0
ACM
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
VIG
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
ACM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
VNZ
3 - 0
CAT
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |