AC Marzotto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
CAT
3 - 1
LEC
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 2
BRE
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |