AC Marzotto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
COM
2 - 0
ACM
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
ACM
1 - 4
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
UDI
2 - 0
ACM
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
ACM
1 - 0
VER
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 2
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
PAL
3 - 3
CAT
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
CAT
2 - 0
MES
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
SAL
0 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |