AC Marzotto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
UNI
1 - 0
ACM
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 1
TAR
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 4
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
CAG
2 - 2
ACM
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 0
VER
68%
18%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
CAT
3 - 1
USA
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |