AC Marzotto vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VER
2 - 4
ACM
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 3
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 0
TAR
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CAG
2 - 0
TRE
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 0
USA
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAG
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAG
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
PAV
0 - 0
CAG
45%
24%
32%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |