AC Marzotto vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACM
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACM
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 1
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
VER
5 - 3
ACM
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 1
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 1
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACP
55%
23%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
PAR
3 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
BRE
2 - 1
FCC
53%
23%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |