AC Marzotto vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 2
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
ACM
47%
28%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 1
VNZ
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
TRI
1 - 1
ACM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
BRE
3 - 0
TAR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |