AC Marzotto vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACM
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
BRE
0 - 0
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
ACM
0 - 1
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
REG
1 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 0
REG
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
REG
1 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
VIG
1 - 2
REG
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
REG
3 - 1
VNZ
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |