AC Marzotto vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
ACM
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 2
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 0
ACM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 2
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 1
USF
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
TRI
0 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
MAN
5 - 1
REG
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |