Mantova vs Vittoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
COM
2 - 1
MAN
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
ACS
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
USC
2 - 1
MAN
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
PIS
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 1
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 3
GRO
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 1
USC
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
COM
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACS
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |