Mantova vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SON
1 - 3
MAN
9%
15%
75%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 1
MAN
14%
22%
63%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
REZ
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
PON
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEG
37%
24%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 3
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIL
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |