Mantova vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
USA
1 - 1
MAN
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 2
MAN
44%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
SAV
72%
18%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 2
MAN
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
VIN
80%
15%
5%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
REN
4 - 2
USP
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
ACS
46%
26%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 2
USP
57%
24%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
USP
0 - 1
RIM
12%
22%
66%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
USP
1 - 0
PRO
20%
25%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |