Mantova vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
59.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
USA
1 - 0
MAN
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 1
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
SPA
40%
26%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAN
57%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
CUN
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
USC
0 - 0
ABN
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VER
3 - 0
USC
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 2
USC
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
USC
3 - 2
NUO
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 1
USC
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |