Mantova vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
TRE
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
MAN
25%
26%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
BOR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
ACS
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
USA
0 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 1
USA
53%
24%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 1
USA
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
USA
2 - 1
RIM
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
USA
1 - 1
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |