Mantova vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
44%
33%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
MAN
0 - 1
COM
48%
30%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 0
MAN
42%
33%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 0
NOV
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 2
MAN
56%
28%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
LEC
56%
28%
16%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
USF
1 - 1
TAR
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
REG
45%
33%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
FCC
2 - 2
TAR
63%
25%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
TAR
2 - 1
PRG
44%
32%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |