Mantova vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAT
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
CAG
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
VER
2 - 1
MAN
66%
18%
15%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
VER
0 - 0
TAR
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
TAR
1 - 1
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
BRE
3 - 0
TAR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
REG
2 - 0
TAR
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ASS
4 - 1
TAR
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |