Mantova vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
29.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIC
31%
33%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
ROM
2 - 2
MAN
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAP
26%
32%
43%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
TOR
4 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ATL
2 - 0
MAN
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPA
53%
28%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAG
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPA
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 2
INT
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 3
BOL
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |