Mantova vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ACM
1 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAN
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
MAN
3 - 1
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 0
MAN
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
MAN
2 - 1
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 2
ROM
34%
27%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 0
TOR
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPA
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
PAD
3 - 2
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
SPA
2 - 1
UDI
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |