Mantova vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
NAP
0 - 0
MAN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
MAN
0 - 0
TOR
31%
32%
37%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
MAN
1 - 0
ATL
36%
31%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
VIC
2 - 0
MAN
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
MAN
0 - 1
CAG
35%
31%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
ROM
2 - 3
CAG
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 0
ROM
31%
28%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
ROM
0 - 0
VIC
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
JUV
0 - 1
ROM
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATL
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |