Mantova vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 1
MAN
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
VAL
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CUN
1 - 0
MAN
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
USA
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAN
71%
17%
11%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 2
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
3 - 0
RIM
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +2 |