Mantova vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 0
MAN
31%
26%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
GRO
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 4
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIT
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
COM
2 - 1
MAN
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
PIS
38%
29%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
PRO
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 1
GRO
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ACS
1 - 2
PRO
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |