Mantova vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
MAN
4 - 1
PIS
46%
30%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
MAN
35%
35%
31%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
VAR
37%
33%
31%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
TAR
59%
27%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PIA
1 - 1
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIA
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
PIA
1 - 1
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
TAR
2 - 0
PIA
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAT
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |